L’Euro-Bund Future mars 2011 est le contrat à terme sur l’obligation à 10 ans émise par la République Fédérale d’Allemagne. Le Bund a évolué dans une tendance haussière jusqu’à fin août, qui vient d’être fortement corrigée. Ce mouvement a permis de corriger 38% de la hausse initiée en juin 2009, et la moyenne mobile à 200 jours a été enfoncée avec rapidité, témoignant d’un excès. Ces deux éléments sont des soutiens des cours. La moyenne mobile reste toujours haussière, et une reprise devient possible...
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Day By Day – Indipendent Research
| Clôture | 124.98 |
| Opinion 2 mois | HAUSSIERE |
| Opinion 2 semaines | POSITIVE |
| Résistances | 126,6 / 128,08 pts |
| Supports | 124,4 / 123 pts |
Anticipation :
Les dernières journées ont permis au Bund de former une figure de court terme appelée « island reversal ». Cette figure indique fréquemment une fin de baisse. Nous visons donc un retour vers l’ancienne zone de support, maintenant résistance, à 126.6.
L’invalidation de ce scenario est sous 124.
| Nom du tracker | Levier | Code Euronext | Ticker Bloomberg | RIC | Eligibilité au PEA | T.E.R |
| AMUNDI ETF GOVT BOND EUROMTS BROAD 7-10 | x1 | FR0010754184 | C73 FP | C73.PA | NON | 0,14% |
| iShares x1 € Government Bond 7-10 | x1 | IE00B1FZS806 | IBGM NA | BGM.PA | NON | 0,20% |
| JPMORGAN ETF GBI EMU 7-10Y | x1 | FR0010561258 | JE4 FP | JE6.PA | NON | 0,15% |
| Lyxor ETF EuroMTS 7-10Y | x1 | FR0010411439 | MTD FP | LMTD.PA | NON | 0,17% |
* Un levier de 1 signifie que le ETF/Tracker aura la même performance que l’indice sous-jacent. Un levier de deux indique que le ETF/Tracker aura deux fois la performance de l’indice sous-jacent. Un levier de -1 indique que le ETF/Tracker aura la performance opposée à celle de l’indice: il montera quand l’indice baissera, et vice-versa.
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Source: ETFWorld – Day By Day – Indipendent Research
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